数学概率代写 MATH 7241代写 Probability代写
1061MATH 7241: Probability 1 FALL 2021 TEST 1 数学概率代写 1) A town has five hotels, numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Four people arrive and each person randomly and independently selects a hotel. 1)...
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代写数学作业 Problem Set #3 Reading: relevant background material for these problems can be found in the class notes, and in Rosenthal Chapter 3.
Reading: relevant background material for these problems can be found in the class notes, and in Rosenthal Chapter 3.
Exercise 1
Let X1, X2,… be a sequence of random variables (not necessarily independent), and suppose that E[Xn] = 0 and E[(Xn)2] = 1 for all n ≥ 1. Prove that
P(Xn ≥ n i.o.)=0
where i.o. means ‘infinitely often’. [Hint: define the event An = {Xn ≥ n} and use the first Borel-Cantelli Lemma along with Markov’s inequality]
Exercise 2
Let X1, X2,… be independent random variables and suppose that Xn is uniform on the set {1, 2,…,n} for each n ≥ 1. Compute P(Xn =5 i.o.). [Hint: use the Borel-Cantelli Lemma]
Reading: relevant background material for these problems can be found on Canvas ‘Notes 4: Finite Markov Chains’. Also Grinstead and Snell Chapter 11.
Exercise 1 ‘Finite Markov Chains – Problems’, Exercise 4.
Hint: draw a graph with 6 nodes to represent the states of the chain, and draw a directed edge between each pair of nodes (i, j) for which the transition matrix entry pij is positive. You can identify the set of transient states as the group of nodes from which edges exit, but into which there are no entering edges. Once you find the transient states, the remaining states are all irreducible, and break up into subsets which intercommunicate.
Exercise 2 ‘Finite Markov Chains – Problems’, Exercises 5 a), 5 b).
Exercise 3 ‘Finite Markov Chains – Problems’, Exercise 2.
Hint: to represent this by a Markov chain you must use the result of two successive trials as your state. So there are four states: SS, SF, F S, F F where S is success and F is failure, and SF means success on trial n and failure on trial n + 1. Then if your current state is SF, your next state must be either F S or F F.
*Exercise 4 ‘Finite Markov Chains – Problems’ file: Exercise 3
Exercise 4 Grinstead & Snell, p. 442: #2.
Note: see pages 442-443 from Grinstead and Snell on Canvas. The text is available online (free!) at
http://www.dartmouth.edu/⇠chance/
Click on the link “A GNU book”.
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